Ebola, Urbanization and the Spanish Flu

I’m struck by a thought that I haven’t seen anyone talk about – the effect of urbanization on the spread of pandemics. And, I’m surprised that so little is being said about this.

Yet, it would have been the growth in city population (i.e., urbanization) that had to have been one of the leading causes for why so many died of the Spanish Flu. Those living in cities would have had a dramatically higher chance of dying from the 1918 Flu Pandemic, than those who live outside the cities, on a farm.

Even more interesting is the fact that the Spanish Flu of 1918 was less lethal than Ebola – ‘only’ killing between 10% and 20% of its victims.


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Ebola, Urbanization and the Spanish Flu

As I said yesterday, there ARE diseases out there that are worse than Ebola, so we had better wake up now to this threat, before we are engulfed by something worse. And, the best model for this threat is the 1918 Flu Pandemic.

Then And Now

Unfortunately that model is out of date because life is quite a bit different today, than it was almost a hundred years ago. Today, we zip around on planes, trains and automobiles. Back then, we didn’t zip at all, and were lucky to even SEE an automobile, let alone ride in one.

  • In 1918, world population was under two billion, and today it’s more than three times that, at 7.1 billion.
  • In 1918, the mortality rate for the Spanish Flu was between 10% and 20%. The mortality rate for Ebola is between 60% and 90%.
  • In 1918, between 3% and 6% of the world’s population died of the Spanish Flu, or about 50-100 million people. Today, we won’t know how many will die before it’s over.
  • In 1918, American Samoa avoided having a single death from that dreadful influenza pandemic because Governor John Martin Poyer imposed a complete blockade. Today, President Obama demands open borders.

In both cases there are/were no defenses or effective treatment. Yet, we are far, far more vulnerable now to pandemic disease, than ever before. We travel more quickly, more often and much farther. We live in cities, instead of farms. Our population is three times greater, and we are faced with a pandemic that kills a far higher percentage of its victims.

We Are Worse Off Now

Even worse, we have a population that has been so dumbed down, that we passively accept the pronouncements of the US President and the CDC – instead of rising up and shouting them down.

I really don’t care how you want to look at this Ebola pandemic. If it’s a hoax, the US government has committed treason. If it’s real, the government has committed treason. If it’s a hoax, something worse than Ebola is coming. If it’s not a hoax… well …Ebola is coming.

And, if Ebola fizzles out… as I said beforethere are worse things than Ebola.

Add to that, the fact that we are more vulnerable to pandemic disease now, than in 1918, and you have a recipe for something truly horrifying.

The Way Forward

There are two things that should guide us in the days ahead:

  • The Bible
  • History

Governor John Martin Poyer saved his island from the Spanish Flu by closing the borders. Since America refuses to do that, you must be ready to find a place where you can keep infection as far from yourself as possible.

When it comes to pandemic disease, quarantine is the ONLY solution.

I truly hope that you’ll be ready for this
(That’s a link. There’s not much time left.)

A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.Proverbs 22:3


If you find a flaw in my reasoning, have a question, or wish to add your own viewpoint, leave a comment on the website. Your input is truly welcome.


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17 thoughts on “Ebola, Urbanization and the Spanish Flu”

  1. Good Article. Only God knows what is going to happen in the future, we are only guessers, but one thing is for certain. The Great Equalizer is coming for everyone! “For the wages of sin is death, but the Gift of God is Eternal Life in Jesus Christ.” So folks; don’t get hyped up over this or that, as some Christians like to hype stuff up, some people are super hypes. In my opinion when those who hype up stuff and who are selling stuff at the same time … RUN! Listen and read what the Christian selling hypes have said over the last number of years, and it didn’t happen as they generalized that this or that would happen in the fall, next spring, on and on they spout out, but they have excuses when it don’t happen! Excuses like our prayers kept the tragedy from happening. Hype and selling! Follow no one, but the ONE who wrote the Book!

  2. More important is what is the R-naught factor. The flu is generally a R-1 (one person infects one person) whereas Polio had a R4/6 (one person could infect 4-6 people). It’s easy to see how this exponentially explodes. The movie Contagion pretty much lays it out some of the societal breakdown (no garbage collection, looting, standing in line for MREs), but glosses it over and doesn’t show the true horror of what’s coming. I’m more concerned at this point by the enterovirus 68 that has spread to just about every state. It’s only targeting those with compromised respiratory function (asthma, etc.) for now, but could easily mutate to something worse or be a precursor of what’s next.

    I think Ray Gano @ Prophezine made an excellent point in his article, “The Need To Return To Social Manners & Etiquette – Our Very Lives May Depend Upon It”. Time to train ourselves not to touch our faces and put our health before the fact someone might be offended if we don’t shake their hands.


  3. Your comments make total sense to me John. Cramming millions into close quarters in big cities, in the long run is not healthy. We can’t even seem to take lessons from the animal world. When factory farms cram hundreds or thousands of animals into giant buildings disease and hence anti biotic use is a given. And yet the global elite are determined to do just this with us! It does make us easier to control. For those who are asleep to world events and evil at work I would urge you to consider that this factory farm type life is your future, at least in the short run.
    Living out in the country now, in the bush I should feel much safer from an epidemic. I feel a little safer but not really safe. Steve Quayle talked yesterday about how because of the charge in all those poison particles floating in our atmosphere via spraying they could easily release a killer virus or pathogen which would bind to the nano particles. That would clean out the rural, hard to reach areas. For cities they will likely use a more controlled method such as vaccines. We can make preparations as best we can. And we should do so. But at the end of the day we are going to need divine intervention.

  4. Well put. I am worried as well. It so easily comes across like a nightmare building up. First fear. At least concern taken to a greater degree. MSM places all emphasis on the first case, Duncan, who died. The second case, which is stablized. And that the two nurses are “cured”. As well, any other suspected cases are now ruled out. Yet, no questioning on the parameters of those confirmed concerning thier comings and goings and the prospect that the virus has indeed been left somewhere and is currently building up. I agree with you. If pandemics come in waves, then we could quite well see an enlarged outbreak begin before Thanksgiving. Additionally I am concerned on how the news has gone quiet over enterovirus D68. I haven’t as yet heard anyone even questionif it is possible these two could somehow mutate into a new virus. Not meaning to incite fear. But consider. Has any of the “ebola” patients been treated at a hospital where any children were being treated for Entero D68? Consider that staph infections are numero uno concern in any hospital, what, if any, are the chances for theses two viruses to merge? Obviously I am displaying an ignorance in medical science but I have to ask. All one need do is look back over the last 10-15 years for the number of virus alerts there have been and how each next one was regarded as worse than the previous. It cannot be disregarded that we are facing a serious health crisis at some point.

    • Hi Jim,

      Very good points.

      However, if fear is necessary to get people started on preparation, then I will stoke the fires of fear until they burn white-hot.

      BUT… we do NOT need to fear. We really don’t. We just need to trust God and prepare as best we can.

      Thank you, Jim. Great comment.

      Yours in Christ,

      John Little

  5. “Those living in cities would have had a dramatically higher chance of dying from the 1918 Flu Pandemic, than those who live outside the cities, on a farm.”

    Wrongo in the Congo!

    People all the way up into Northern Canada, Alaska,and in Newfoundland, died like flies of that thing.

    • Hi Norma,

      Please read what I said more carefully.

      I used the words ‘higher chance’.

      Those living ‘all the way up into Northern Canada, Alaska,and in Newfoundland’ did not quarantine visitors and themselves, like they should have – so, they died.

      The conclusion still stands, Norma. Quarantine is the answer.

      You can’t get Ebola, if you don’t come into contact with someone who has Ebola.

      Yours in Christ,

      John Little

  6. John, I do need to go back and do some more research on Spanish Flu. However, I do think that the Spanish Flu epidemic is much different than this current epidemic. I think the Spanish Flu epidemic is much more serious(although I am not down playing the seriousness of ebola). I don’t think that even to this day they know exactly how the Spanish Flu spread. They think it might have spread thru the atmosphere some how or at least in some articles I read. People that were isolated were somehow exposed. Many millions died, even in places that seemed isolated. Ebola on the other hand, requires exposure from an infected person and the death rate is very high. Meaning that the carrier has less chance to infect others before passing away. On the surface at least, comparing the 2 pandemics is like comparing apples to oranges. Well, unless they find out that ebola is actually spread as an airborne contagion. When the Spanish Flu disappeared finally, they do not even know why it disappeared. It just went away mysteriously.

    • Hi Glen,

      Well, we DO know the physical characteristics of the Spanish Flu, and we know how it spreads. And, while there are differences between the physical characteristics of Spanish Flu and Ebola, there cannot be THAT many. They are, after all, both viruses.

      So, unless we are going to claim some kind of miracle or magic, we are stuck with science.

      Thank you, Glen.

      Yours in Christ,

      John Little

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